The government is pregnant a new increase in petrol and diesel prices from 16 October 2025, next the last trek on 1 October. Due to rising global oil rates, rupee devaluation, and importation cost pressures, the Oil & Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) together with the Ministry of Finance will probable proclaim new taxes in mid-October.
Petrol and Diesel Prices Likely to Increase 2025
| Change / Subject | Current Effective From | Expected New Start | Current Price (PKR/Litre) | Expected Method of Revision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrol / Diesel Price Adjustment | 1 October 2025 | 16 October 2025 | Petrol: 268.68, Diesel: 276.81 | Official notification via OGRA / Ministry |
Current Fuel Prices (as of 9 October 2025)
As of the latest Petrol and Diesel Prices Likely to Increase official notification:
- Petrol (Super / MS): Rs. 268.68 per litre
- High Speed Diesel (HSD): Rs. 276.81 per litre
These rates were set on 1 October 2025 when petrol was increased by Rs.4.07 and diesel by Rs.4.04.
Expected New Rates from 16 October 2025
Based on market analysis and historical patterns Petrol and Diesel Prices Likely to Increase, the following projected hikes are possible (these are estimates, not official):
| Fuel Type | Current Price (PKR/Litre) | Expected Increase (PKR) | Projected New Price (PKR/Litre) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrol | 268.68 | ~ +2.20 to +3.00 | ~ 270.89 to ~ 271.68 |
| Diesel | 276.81 | ~ +3.00 to +4.00 | ~ 279.81 to ~ 280.81 |
These projections are based on trends in global crude oil prices and distant exchange actions. The final rates will be officially notified by OGRA / Ministry of Money around 15 October 2025, real from night (00:00) on 16 October 2025.
Why Are Fuel Prices Increasing Again?
Global Oil Price Surge
Crude oil is trading higher globally, pushing the base cost of fuel imports upward.
Rupee Depreciation
The Pakistani rupee weakening against the US dollar increases the cost of importing fuel.
Import Premiums & Freight Costs
Higher shipping, freight, and premiums imposed by oil marketers contribute to upward pressure.
Taxation, Levies & Margins
Changes in petroleum levies, government taxes, and local refinery margins also affect the final retail price.
Impact on Consumers & Economy
Increased Cost of Transportation
Public transport fares will likely go up. Goods delivery costs for daily essentials may also increase.
More Inflation
Fuel is a major input cost; rising fuel prices cascade into higher prices for food, services, and manufacturing.
Pressure on Middle & Lower Classes
Households will feel the pinch more due to higher commuting and utility costs.
Government’s Role & Response
The Finance Ministry has said the future adjustment will equilibrium public well-being with financial restraints. But due to IMF or global lender responsibilities, significant fuel grants might not be possible.
The official rate statement is expected on 15 October 2025 by OGRA, taking consequence from 16 October at 00:00 hours.
Historical Price Trend (Sept – Oct 2025)
| Effective Date | Petrol (PKR/Litre) | Diesel (PKR/Litre) | Change / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 October 2025 | 268.68 | 276.81 | +4.07 / +4.04 hike |
| 16 September 2025 | 264.61 | ~ 272.77 | Previous rates before October increase |
| 1 September 2025 | ~ 259.92 (petrol) | ~ 268.00 (diesel) | Prior rate changes |
Over the past two months, petrol has risen by about Rs.4.07, and diesel by about Rs.4.04.
What to Expect & What You Can Do
- Expect confirmation notification from OGRA / Ministry on or before 15 October 2025.
- Ride share, carpool, or reduce trips to save fuel.
- Expect increases in fares and goods — budget accordingly.
- Monitor official OGRA website and major news channels for updated rates.
(FAQ)– Petrol and Diesel Prices Likely to Increase
What is current petrol price?
As of now, petrol is Rs. 268.68 per litre.
When will new rates be announced?
Official rates will likely be announced on 15 October 2025, effective from 16 October.
How much increase is expected?
Petrol may go up by ~Rs. 2 to Rs. 3, diesel by ~Rs. 3 to Rs. 4 per litre (as projection).
Why are they increasing again?
Factors include increasing oil prices internationally, rupee devaluation, freight & tax changes, and refinery margin variations.
Can government stop it?
Only if they reduce petroleum levies, taxes, or provide subsidies — but that may conflict with financial policies or IMF conditions.
